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20121027
20121104
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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 96 (some duplicates have been removed)
with a lead all year. it's not just that obama is up there, but it's a state where it's been stable and consistent in the polling. i think it might be more in play because i don't think they are conceding ohio. they need a better plan b. >> is there a famous circumstance in which all the polls all yearlong point in one direction and a partisan poll correctly predicted the results? >> that poll is almost always going to be wrong. especially when there's a consensus of 20 polls. maybe in a house race where the public polls aren't as good. but the public polling is pretty good. we know what the party bases are and where they live. this is a state that teases republicans where they can get up to 49% pretty easily, but it's hard to get to 50%. unless because of the hurricane and where the power outages might be, that could affect thi things. but apart from that, it's a sign of a campaign that doesn't like the electoral map very much. >> what about the montra we have been hearing on the right. we were hearing the idea that mr. romney has momentum heading into the election day. you shouldn
obama won the state of florida and the presidency. oops. last year florida's new republican governor rick scott decided he was not going to make that mistake again. rather than expanding voting, the new one decided he would cut the days for early voting almost in half in order to make voting harder. look. at least that's how it works. long, long, long lines for early voting in polls places across florida except this year it's long lines with no relief in sight. we have been getting pictures ever since early voting started in the state. this is how democracy works in florida this year. look at this. get in line. wait and wait. wait an hour. wait four hours. wait five hours. yesterday florida democrats and the nonpartisan group the league of women voters asked the governor to do something about the long lines. they asked him to add a day of voting to open the polls on the last sunday before the election when many african-americans usually plan to car pool after church to go vote. the governor said no. florida's governor said, "early voting will end on saturday night, but i want everybo
pollster has had him with a lead all year. so it's not just that obama is up there, but it's a state where it's been very stable and very consistent in the polling. i think it might be more in play because i don't think they are conceding ohio. but they're worried about it and they need maybe a better plan "b" potentially. >> have you ever seen, or is there even at least sort of a famous circumstance in which all the polls consistently all year long pointed in one direction, and a partisan internal poll correctly predicted the results? >> yeah, that's almost always going to be wrong. especially when there's a consensus of 15 or 20 polls. maybe when you're in a senate race or something or a house race, where the public polls aren't as good. but the public polling is pretty reliable in pennsylvania. we know what the party bases are and where they live. this is why it's a state that always teases republicans, because it's a state where it's hard to -- they can get up to 48%, 49% pretty easily but it's really hard for them to get to 50%. unless because of the hurricane and where the power outa
. >> but isn't it better than nothing? >> look, if i lived in a swing state i would vote for obama no doubt about it. romney scares me. he wants to give wall street a bank check. he is a greater evil. >> eliot: you were clear you said he's the lesser of two evils. >> obama. >> eliot: yes. you did not describe him in the affirmative vote. >> you know this better than i do. when you put lawrence sumners in and timothy geithner, you are clear about it. i would have voted for you. that's why i came on this show. seriously, you had the right mentionmessage. i'm not trying to flatter you. and i thought obama in that speech he gave when running against hillary he nailed it. wall street gave him all that money. now wall street has betrayed him they think the best defense and offense and they're going to play him now. >> eliot: i thought wall street was smart enough to understand that he used rhetoric that was edgy but did nothing that would hurt them. but they seem to be soaked in rhetoric that even pinks them, and now we're not with you. >> they're shameful. >> eliot: before we spend too much time
to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major endorsement coming from new york city's independent mayor michael bloomberg. no question, this is a close race but today in wisconsin the president went after one of the key points in governor romney's closing argument to voters. >> the closing weeks of this campaign, governor romney has been using all his talents as a salesman to dress up these very same policies that failed our country so badly. and he is offering them change. he's saying he's the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change looks like. and what the governor is offering sure ain't change. >> it sure ain't change. but governor romney is good at changing on every position and doing anything to win. on the trail, he's trying to sound warm and cuddly. he's now taking a soft attack. the new york times quoting him on the trail as saying, democrats love america, to
difference, because obama has over 800 of these field offices, concentrated in the swing states, you know, the eight or 10 or 12 states that are really crucial in this election. the romney campaign has about 300. so there's april quantitative difference, and there is some political science research showing that just having that field office, being on the ground in a certain community, does increase your share of the vote. but then there's a qualitative difference as well. the obama campaign, it's almost like a starbucks or a mcdonald's, a franchise operation, where every office is very much the same. it's all controlled by headquarters. they're all working off the same game plan, right down to every single office has what looks like this sort of nice grass-roots touch, a poster on the wall that says i support the president because -- and then everybody's handwritten in their reasons that they love obama underneath. every single office has that same poster. so it's very standardized, very controlled, very disciplined, and they're all working off the same plan. romney actually does not have
. the reason pollsters are obsessively polling ohio and political reporters flooded the state and barack obama and romney have been living there is because it's most likely the state to win the election. if romney wins florida, virginia and colorado, it's still difficult for him to get to the needed 270 electoral votes without winning ohio. there's one lone point of comfort as the polls tightened to a tie or a slight lead for romney. in ohio, polls reliablely show romney two to five points behind the president. political observers spent a fair amount of time why barack obama is outperforming his national numbers in ohio, among white men. the ohio economy is outperforming the national economy. ohio has a lower unemployment rate than the nation at large, it's seen a faster rate of improvement. a big reason for that is, of course, the auto rescue initiated under the bush administration and executed under the barack obama team. an estimated 160,000 of them wouldn't have jobs if the government wouldn't have stepped in with loans. the reason that it comprised one-half of joe biden's two-line campaig
clear politics" average of the most recent polling in the state of ohio shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00 hour, polls will be closing in these 18 states. of these states, again, there will be three that we're going to be watching most closely. florida, pennsylvania, and new hampshire. the "real clear politics" polling average right now in florida has romney ahead. in pennsylvania the polling average says it is president obama who's ahead by 4.6 points. in new hampshire, again, president obama ahead with a 1.3 lead. that's the 8:00 hour. at 9:00, we'll have polls closed in all those places, and the blinking states here will be the ones that are closing. 14 states mostly in the midwest and the south. of
block just almost as big as the united states. it has more people in it. so, president obama and certainly we know from tim geithner, the treasury secretary who continually beats them over the head for europeans to do something. but they are powerless. they have to stand and watch. >> so, we know that over the last four years the president's tried this diplomacy with europe. has it worked? you say it's because he can't do anything. >> on economic grounds, absolutely. this is a debt crisis in the heart of the european countries. no matter how it started, no matter where it's going. it's up to the ecb, the european central bank and the central bank for europe and up to the imf and the u.s. could have some influence there. but fundamentally, fundamentally the u.s. has to stand on the sidelines and watch, be worried and warned. >> now, deficit. big issue for a lot of voters this election season. we know that governor romney has said in the third debate that u.s. is on track to follow greece, that america is the next greece. is this just really hot rhetoric or is it likely? >> it
. right now it's the unemployment rate is 5.7% and president obama won the state into thousand eight with 9%. the executive director of the institute -- he is joining us from manchester. let's begin with tough issues for new hampshire voters. >> before i get started, i wanted to thank c-span and congratulate them on 15 years being on the air. it has been a very new book valuable resources -- a very valuable resource. we are a swing states. four electoral votes. it sounds like a small number but if al gore had won the four votes, he would have become president. they are very important. this state right to know is a tossup. the issues are different than it would be across the country. unlike nevada, that has a higher unemployment rate. ron sommer, it was 5.2%. -- and like summer, it was 5.2%. it is the number one issue but ring home like other issues. right now, we are seeing that the candidates are coming into, particularly the president has coming into the seacoast area. towns like rochester, cities like rochester are areas that are indicative of what may happen in the election. the
the presidency without winning. ohio will be the decisive state. if president obama wins florida, it moves the -- >> i could see florida being -- >> what i heard democrats talk about if they can hold ohio, hold wisconsin, paul ryan's home state, hold nevada, they could lose all other swing states, lose the congressional district in maine and come out with exactly 270 electoral votes. gwen: you add it up that way, john? >> that sounds very powerful. what i am struck by is there hasn't been any mystery about this. if you go further than a year ago, president obama's team was very straightforward. they expected it was going to be mitt romney. they were going to make him very unacceptable. the wealthy and out of touch background. they did that. they had a micro targeted micromessage strategy. they said what they were going to do. and stuck to that strategy seems to be with remarkable discipline. if it works, they look really, really smart. the difference between being really smart and really dumb -- [laughter] >> what's remarkable is that they broadcast that, right? >> and the romney campaign
states. but they say it's president obama who has the edge on the electoral map. and just today, governor romney stepped into the republican zone to claim the economy is is at a, quote, virtual standstill. this is despite 32 straight months of private sector job growth. these people are living in an alternate universe. but they may wake up to reality. the morning after election day. joining me now is e.j. dionne, columnist for "the washington post" and an msnbc contributor and ana marie cox, washington correspondent for "the guardian." thank you both for being here. >> good to be here. >> e.j., is there any method behind the madness? >> well, first of all, i want to say that i can both a nuclear physicist and a major legal baseball player. if you can make it up while you go along, why not. look, on elections it's an old game to say my guy is winning whether my guy is winning or not. they've launched a huge campaign to discredit nate silver of the "new york times" even though he's one of the best number crunchers and, in fact, used to be a baseball number cruncher. some of it is normal but
. whereas, president obama has made quite a few appearances in the eastern part of the state, although not recently. that is also true of michelle obama and vice-president biden. they have a tendency to campaign in the eastern part of the state which is where their political strength has been. host: the president has not been in north carolina since the convention. are people taking notice of that? guest: yes. the president has not campaigned in north carolina since april. governor romney was here a few weeks back, made an appearance in asheville, but that was mainly to have a visit with polygram, a much publicized visit, a visit to convey the message that it was ok for religious conservatives to vote for a mormon. vice-president joe biden has been here several times. so, this has been a battleground state but not a top tier battleground state. clearly, we have not seen the major candidates here, but we have seen a lot of campaigning we have seen something like $80 million spent here in campaign ads. we have seen as much advertising here as most of the major battleground states. not as
a very tight race in the must-win state of ohio. president obama is at 50% and mitt romney is at 46%. i'm joined now by gloria borger and ryan lizza. thanks, guys. who's got the edge right now and we're getting closer and closer. >> it's hard to say. our head is exploding with all of these polls. but if you look at our -- let's take the state of ohio, which is of course so key to both campaigns. it's hard to see how romney would win the presidency without winning ohio, although they now say they could. although if you look at the internals you see what you've been seeing all along. president obama is up with women about 12 points, mitt romney up with men by 8 points. romney has made some in roads in suburban areas, but in our poll, the president is up with independent voters by about 5 points. what romney needs to keep doing, to get the momentum or to continue a momentum that he had after the first debate is to get those voters out in the suburban areas, married women in particular, that could make the difference for him in the state of ohio, which is so key. but as for overall momentum
at all. he has not made anything eastern half of the state. president obama has made quite a few appearances in the eastern part of the state, but not recently. that is also true of michelle obama and vice president biden. they tend to dampen more in the eastern part of the state. it is in the recent trial were the political strength has been. host: you mention the president has not been in north carolina recently. are people taking notice of that? guest: yes. except for the convention, the president has not really campaign in north carolina since april. we have not really seen the principles year at all. governor romney was here a few weeks back and made an appearance in ashville. that was mainly to have a visit which is very important signal to send to religious conservatives that it was ok for them to go for a mormon. aside from that, mitt romney has not been there. vice-president joe biden has been here several times. this has been a battleground state, but not in the top bobrun state. clearly we have not seen the major candidates here. we have seen a lot of campaigning. we h
president obama could feel the same way about it. this is probably the key state. >> greta: why do you all leave, ohio, and spread out across the country? why don't you all just stay in ohio if that is so important, got to get every vote there. >> because you got to make sure you win the others too. you have to make sure you win, virginia, and win colorado and win wisconsin and you win florida. florida you can't take for granted. florida is just as critical. maybe more in ohio. we all feel i think. >> greta: it looks like we have some satellite trouble. we have lost the mayor. we -- the governor, of course, you see on the screen here. just to give you sort of a heads up what has been going on in ohio today. westchester, ohio and this is supposedly one of the biggest rallies that governor romney has had as they sort of move into the closing part of this campaign. at the campaign today -- at the rally, speaker of the house boehner, senator john mccain, mayor giuliani, senator rubio. they brought out all of the stars of the republican party because there is no doubt everybody thinks this is t
women. and another fascinating thing obama gets 43% of the wheat vote, higher than in most states. is it all about the auto bailout, smart move politically? >> it is all about the auto bailout. the chevy cruise which is assembled in ohio has ohio parts. down to the seat covers. and everybody knows that the alternative to the auto bailout would have been 13%, 14% unemployment in that state. chris: is there a national positive for him on the auto front or is it just in a couple of states, wisconsin, obviously michigan, those kind of mi western industrial statse? >> coal being part of the state that's doing well. obviously that message will play better to romney there than to obama. but nevertheless, to back out for a second a look at the economy, generally speaking, you have states important swing states where the unemployment rate is lower than the national average. but the recent set of data we see a brightening of consumer attitudes. we see consumer sentiment and surprisingly at a five-year high despite historically high gas prices. despite a lot of the concerns that this is our
campaign appearances in the state of virginia today. president obama jumped all over the place from wisconsin to nevada, to colorado. both candidates are making their closing arguments. interesting. a closing argument. what is mitt romney's closing argument? his latest incarnation is that he's the guy who reaches across the aisle? >> we have to stop the dividing and the attacking and the demonizing. we've got to reach across the aisle, bring in good democrats with good republicans and finally do the people's business and put the politics behind. >> we just need to stop demonizing, don't we? well, old mittster, show leadership and pick up the phone and call mitch mcconnell. it's interesting for mitt romney to present himself as a guy who works across the aisle while president obama is being label by the tea partyers and everybody else in the right wing as nothing but the divider in chief. romney might want to pick up the phone, you know, give this guy a call, keynote speaker of the republican convention. governor christie spent the last four days praising the president of the united
for the obama campaign to hit back hard. in the state of florida it actually gets worse. romney desperately needs to win the state of florida and he is running a spanish language ad meant to stoke the fears of cuban-americans. the ad tries to connect president obama to venezuelan president hugo chavez and fidel castro. "the miami herald" reports the romney campaign would not furnish the ad despite repeated requests. in other words, the ad is so outrageous, the romney campaign tried to slip it under the radar. obviously the strategy is backfiring. let's turn to annette taddeo, member of the miami-dade democratic party. annette, great to have you with us tonight. i keep saying the bread basket to victory for president obama is going to be south florida. turnout is to important. but now this spanish language ad that's out, what is this doing to stroke the fears and the emotions of people down in that portion of the state? >> well, it just -- i think mitt romney is finally just getting absolutely desperate. it is him learning a little bit of -- him realizing he cannot win, just like you said, w
the presidency without holding on to ohio. president obama knows that he really needs to win the state if he is to get those 270 electoral votes. so president obama really trying to make up for lost time, tamron, with some of these key swing state voters. as you know, he spent the past three days managing the federal response to sandy. that allowed him to look presidential, of course, but he had to cancel a number of campaign events including in wisconsin. so earlier today in wisconsin, he talked about that issue of romney painting himself as the candidate of change. he basically said that's not the case. he said, look, romney can't be trusted. he's not the candidate of change. is he a candidate who essentially espouses the same policies as george w. bush which president obama has argued is exactly what got the country into the financial mess that it was in during the recession. tamron. >> kristen, speaking of change, the president has modified his stump speech according to david axelrod, a more affirmative tone, but also pointing out the vision of what they say they are fighting for. >> rep
registered but didn't vote. we estimate that 340,000 of those were in ohio, alone. this is a state that obama carried with only 262,000 vote margins. so if they show up, it's going to be a big factor that wasn't there four years ago. >> why is no one else covering this, ralph? you've got hard numbers. first of all, first of all, you're talking about wisconsin and iowa as well as ohio, as well as pennsylvania. i mean, romney, that's landslide territory. what i want to ask you is this. why doesn't the press understand the story that you're telling, and to some extent, the work you've done? dan henneger did that absolutely. why don't they get that, ralph? why don't they talk about that? >> there has been a fair amount of coverage. front page story in "the new york times." there's been broadcast coverage. fox news has tone done it. there's been coverage of it. the main reason why, larry, is just this t-- it's not a new problem. it's a systemic problem that a lot of these voters are located in what the dominant media would call flyover country. 47% of this vote is in the south. 27% of this vote is
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 96 (some duplicates have been removed)